

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 54.01% ( | 22.02% ( | 23.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( | 38.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.16% ( | 60.84% ( |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( | 14.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.86% ( | 42.14% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( | 29.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.81% ( | 65.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 3-1 @ 6.3% ( 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 4-0 @ 2.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.35% Total : 54.01% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 3-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 23.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 26 |
| 4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
| 12 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | DC United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 13 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 6 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
| 4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Dallas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | St Louis City | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 4 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
