

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.88%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 47.74% ( | 21.5% ( | 30.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 68.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.64% ( | 30.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.38% ( | 51.63% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.58% ( | 13.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.63% ( | 40.37% ( |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% ( | 20.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.08% ( | 52.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 1-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-2 @ 4.67% ( 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 4-2 @ 2.34% ( 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 4-3 @ 1.24% ( 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 5-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 8.75% ( 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0-0 @ 2.75% ( 3-3 @ 2.47% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 2-3 @ 3.69% ( 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 3-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | DC United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | New York City FCNY City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Toronto | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Nashville SCNashville | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Dallas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Austin FCAustin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | St Louis City | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | Houston DynamoHouston | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
