Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, February 27 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Thursday, February 27 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Goals
for
for
61
Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Estoril Praia
While Sporting's injury woes present an opportunity for Estoril, the hosts should have enough to grind out a victory, given their dominance in this fixture and the added urgency of protecting their place at the summit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 11.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estoril Praia |
72.34% ( 0.35) | 16.5% ( -0.11) | 11.16% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
