Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.34%) and 0-3 (10.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
8.44% (![]() | 15.76% (![]() | 75.8% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.69% (![]() | 41.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.29% (![]() | 63.71% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.31% (![]() | 51.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.2% (![]() | 85.8% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.8% (![]() | 9.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.84% (![]() | 31.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 3.14% (![]() 2-1 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 1.79% Total : 8.44% | 1-1 @ 7.49% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.57% Total : 15.76% | 0-2 @ 13.53% (![]() 0-1 @ 11.34% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 10.76% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.93% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 6.42% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 3.41% Total : 75.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 64 | 21 | 43 | 56 |
2 | Benfica | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 53 |
3 | Porto | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 30 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 39 |
6 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 27 |
12 | Nacional | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 26 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
14 | AVS | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 23 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 22 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |