MX23RW : Saturday, August 17 22:52:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
Sporting Lisbon

Nacional
1 - 6
Sporting Lisbon

Thomas (36')
Ulisses (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Goncalves (16'), Trincao (41', 57'), Gyokeres (51' pen., 76'), Braganca (66')
Inacio (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AVS 1-1 Nacional
Saturday, August 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Nacional 0-2 Sporting Lisbon

Sporting, undefeated in their last 11 league away matches, are expected to extend their streak with a comfortable win against newly-promoted Nacional to continue their 100% start in 2024-25 and claim a sixth straight win in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw has a probability of 21.6% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 20.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nacional win it is 2-1 (5.43%).

Result
NacionalDrawSporting Lisbon
20.28% (0.123 0.12) 21.57% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 58.14% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.89% (0.406 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.92% (0.442 0.44)41.07% (-0.441 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (0.45 0.45)63.47% (-0.449 -0.45)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (0.377 0.38)33.94% (-0.376 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38% (0.406 0.41)70.62% (-0.40599999999999 -0.41)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (0.126 0.13)13.87% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.73% (0.248 0.25)41.26% (-0.247 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 20.28%
    Sporting Lisbon 58.14%
    Draw 21.57%
NacionalDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 5.43% (0.027 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.09% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-1 @ 1.96% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 0.99% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 20.28%
1-1 @ 10.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.57%
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 9.19% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 6.54% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.05% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.23% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.74% (0.032 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.28% (0.017 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 58.14%

How you voted: Nacional vs Sporting Lisbon

Nacional
2.8%
Draw
2.8%
Sporting Lisbon
94.4%
36
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Nacional
Feddal (83'), Cabral (90+2' pen.)
Paulinho (31'), Braganca (53')

Ibrahim Alhassan (22'), Bessa (57'), Cesar (65'), Correia (90+1')
Ibrahim Alhassan (66')
Jan 8, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 13
Nacional
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Micael (11'), Simoes da Vinha (42'), Borges (61'), Freitas (69')
Santos (43'), Cabral (90')
Feddal (27'), Amorim (57')
Apr 19, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 30
Nacional
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Cesar (62'), Witi (89')
Phellype (62')
Acuna (7'), Gudelj (55'), Cabral (65')
Dec 16, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 13
Sporting Lisbon
5-2
Nacional
Dost (35' pen., 87' pen.), Fernandes (70', 91'), Mathieu (75')
Mathieu (27'), Coates (32'), Fernandes (57')
Camacho (6'), Palocevic (25')
Lopes (73'), Kalindi (85'), Hamzaoui (86')
Mar 18, 2017 6.15pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Nacional
Dost (13', 34')
Semedo (29'), Schelotto (45')

Mezga (31'), Cesar (55'), Garcia (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon22009276
2Porto22005056
3FamalicaoFamalicao11002023
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara21014313
5Benfica21013213
6MoreirenseMoreirense11002113
7BoavistaBoavista11001013
8Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes11001013
9Gil Vicente210145-13
10Rio AveRio Ave210123-13
11Braga10101101
12Estrela Amadora10101101
13AVS201135-21
14Nacional201127-51
15AroucaArouca100101-10
16SC FarenseFarense200213-20
17Estoril PraiaEstoril100114-30
18Casa Pia200204-40


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!