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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Preston North End |
| 53.86% ( | 25.15% ( | 20.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.99% ( | 55.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% ( | 76.28% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( | 20.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.14% ( | 52.86% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.81% ( | 41.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.27% ( | 77.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 13.36% ( 2-0 @ 10.61% ( 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.98% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 53.86% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 2-2 @ 4.18% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 1-3 @ 1.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.98% |