

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Swansea City |
| 32.43% ( | 26.01% ( | 41.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.14% ( | 50.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.26% ( | 72.74% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( | 29.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.51% ( | 65.49% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( | 24.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.43% ( | 58.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 2-0 @ 5.33% ( 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 4-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.43% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0-2 @ 7.18% ( 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0-3 @ 3.39% ( 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 41.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 35 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 72 | 22 | 50 | 76 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 73 |
| 3 | Burnley | 35 | 19 | 14 | 2 | 45 | 10 | 35 | 71 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 20 | 65 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 53 |
| 6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Bristol City | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 52 |
| 8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 52 |
| 9 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 50 |
| 10 | Watford | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 49 |
| 11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 48 |
| 12 | Millwall | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 45 |
| 13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 45 |
| 14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 44 |
| 15 | Preston North EndPreston | 35 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 41 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 39 |
| 18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 38 |
| 19 | Hull City | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 36 |
| 20 | Stoke CityStoke | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 36 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 36 |
| 22 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 31 |
| 23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 35 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 36 | 70 | -34 | 30 |
| 24 | Derby CountyDerby | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 29 |
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