MX23RW : Thursday, April 17 05:50:32| >> :120:24722:24722:
Bayern logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 5, 2025 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leverkusen logo

Bayern
3 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Kane (9', 75' pen.), Musiala (54')
Laimer (39'), Goretzka (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mukiele (39'), Tapsoba (73'), Tah (74')
Mukiele (62')

The Match

Match Report

Vincent Kompany's Bayern Munich put on an attacking display in their Champions League round of 16 first leg against Bayer Leverkusen on Wednesday night.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
61.48% (0.388 0.39) 20.28% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 18.23% (-0.294 -0.29)
Both teams to score 57.74% (-0.228 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)38.24% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.48% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)60.51% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88% (0.096999999999994 0.1)11.99% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.56% (0.205 0.2)37.43% (-0.208 -0.21)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61% (-0.331 -0.33)34.38% (0.33000000000001 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.9% (-0.357 -0.36)71.09% (0.354 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 61.48%
    Bayer Leverkusen 18.23%
    Draw 20.28%
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.27% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.75% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 7% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.56% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.71% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.48% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 61.48%
1-1 @ 9.34% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.28%
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.4% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 18.23%

How you voted: Bayern vs B. Leverkusen

Bayern Munich
59.6%
Draw
22.5%
Bayer Leverkusen
18.0%
334
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2025 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
B. Leverkusen
0-0
Bayern
Hincapie (11'), Tapsoba (90+4')
Ito (39'), Pavlovic (53'), Upamecano (74')
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Round of 16
Bayern
0-1
B. Leverkusen

Upamecano (13'), Goretzka (52')
Neuer (17')
Tella (69')
Tapsoba (13'), Wirtz (22'), Kovar (78')
Sep 28, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Bayern
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Pavlovic (39')
Upamecano (23')
Andrich (31')
Alonso (23'), Andrich (32'), Wirtz (57'), Grimaldo (71')
Feb 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
3-0
Bayern
Stanisic (18'), Grimaldo (50'), Frimpong (90+5')
Tapsoba (64'), Adli (77'), Hradecky (83')

Boey (36'), Goretzka (62')
Sep 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bayern
2-2
B. Leverkusen
Kane (7'), Goretzka (86')
Tuchel (25')
Grimaldo (24'), Palacios (90+4' pen.)
Hofmann (34'), Wirtz (47'), Tapsoba (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool32237274314376
2Arsenal321712357273063
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle32185961402159
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest32176951381357
5Manchester CityMan City32167962422055
6Chelsea32159856391754
7Aston Villa3215984946354
8Bournemouth321391052401248
9Fulham32139104743448
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32121285149248
11Brentford32127135248443
12Crystal Palace321110114145-443
13Everton32814103438-438
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd32108143845-738
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs321141760491137
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32105174761-1435
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3298153654-1835
18Ipswich TownIpswich3249193367-3421
19Leicester CityLeicester3246222772-4518
20Southampton3224262377-5410


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!