Champions League header

Champions League

Atletico Madrid logo
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 21, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Leverkusen logo

Atletico
2 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Alvarez (52', 90')
Gimenez (45+2'), Simeone (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hincapie (45+1')
Wirtz (44'), Tella (45+2'), Hincapie (45+4')
Hincapie (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Leganes 1-0 Atletico
Saturday, January 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, January 18 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawBayer Leverkusen
48.86% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)25.04% (0.004999999999999 0)26.09% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)50.01% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)71.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)20.49% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)52.96% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (0.013999999999996 0.01)33.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (0.012 0.01)70.33% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 48.86%
    Bayer Leverkusen 26.09%
    Draw 25.03%
Atletico MadridDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.09%

How you voted: Atletico vs B. Leverkusen

Atletico Madrid
38.4%
Draw
30.1%
Bayer Leverkusen
31.5%
279
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Atletico
2-2
B. Leverkusen
Carrasco (22'), De Paul (50')
Diaby (9'), Hudson-Odoi (29')
> Preview
Sep 13, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Atletico
Andrich (84'), Diaby (87')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Atletico
> Preview
Oct 22, 2019 5.55pm
Group Stage
Atletico
1-0
B. Leverkusen
> Preview
Mar 15, 2017 7.45pm
Round of 16
Atletico
0-0
B. Leverkusen
Gimenez (66'), Gaitan (89')
Jedvaj (64'), Baumgartlinger (71')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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