Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Sep 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Griezmann (28'), Gimenez (90')
Le Normand (10'), Gimenez (60'), De Paul (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sesko (4')
Lukeba (39'), Baumgartner (49'), Henrichs (90+4'), Openda (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Valencia
Sunday, September 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	RB Leipzig
49.36% ( 0.48)	22.88% ( -0.11)	27.75% ( -0.38)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Atletico Madrid	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.59% Total : 49.36%	1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.87%	1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.75%