Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 24, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig1 - 0VfL Bochum
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RWE 1-4 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Jahn 1-0 VfL Bochum
Sunday, August 18 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Sunday, August 18 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 VfL Bochum
Given the hosts' consistency in the league over recent years, as well as their excellent record at home, they come into Saturday's game as strong favourites. Additionally, Bochum's loss in the DFB-Pokal against a 2. Bundesliga side was concerning, and if they perform similarly this weekend then it is difficult to see how they can avoid defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | VfL Bochum |
55.68% ( 0.65) | 21.56% ( -0.02) | 22.77% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 60.74% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
