

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.62%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 51.62% ( | 23.61% ( | 24.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.99% ( | 45.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.64% ( | 67.36% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( | 17.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.07% ( | 47.93% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.91% ( | 32.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.44% ( | 68.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 3-0 @ 4.96% ( 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.77% Total : 51.62% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 24.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 90 | 29 | 61 | 75 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 51 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 47 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 44 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
| 11 | Stuttgart | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 41 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 39 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 30 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 25 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 45 | 74 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 21 |
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