

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin | 
| 54.01% (  -0.27) | 22.99% (  0.18) | 23% (  0.08) | 
| Both teams to score 56.03% (  -0.5) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.92% (  -0.71) | 44.08% (  0.71) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.54% (  -0.7) | 66.46% (  0.7) | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.75% (  -0.35) | 16.26% (  0.35) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.21% (  -0.63) | 45.79% (  0.63) | 
| Union Berlin Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.9% (  -0.32) | 33.1% (  0.32) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.31% (  -0.35) | 69.7% (  0.35) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin | 
| 2-1 @ 9.82% (  -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.78% (  0.19) 2-0 @ 8.88% (  0.07) 3-1 @ 5.95% (  -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.38% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.29% (  -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.7% (  -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.44% (  -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.49% (  -0.05) 5-1 @ 0.98% (  -0.04) Other @ 3.32% Total : 54.01% | 1-1 @ 10.8% (  0.11) 2-2 @ 5.43% (  -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.38% (  0.17) 3-3 @ 1.21% (  -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 5.98% (  0.01) 0-1 @ 5.95% (  0.13) 0-2 @ 3.29% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 2.2% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 2% (  -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.21% (  0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 23% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 | 
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 | 
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 | 
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 | 
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 | 
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