

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.72%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 41.8% ( | 22.41% ( | 35.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.93% ( | 33.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.2% ( | 54.8% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( | 16.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.61% ( | 46.39% ( |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( | 19.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.14% ( | 50.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 3-2 @ 4.19% ( 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 4-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.54% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( 2-2 @ 7% ( 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 3-3 @ 2.31% ( Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 2-3 @ 3.85% ( 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 3-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 29 | 58 | 72 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 63 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 48 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 45 |
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 43 |
| 11 | Stuttgart | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 41 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 39 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 35 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 30 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 29 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 22 |
| 17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 20 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 19 |
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