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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.72%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
41.8% (![]() | 22.41% (![]() | 35.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.93% (![]() | 33.06% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.2% (![]() | 54.8% (![]() |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.41% (![]() | 16.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.61% (![]() | 46.39% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% (![]() | 19.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.14% (![]() | 50.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.48% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 3.54% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 9.44% (![]() 2-2 @ 7% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 7.79% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 29 | 58 | 72 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 63 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 52 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 49 |
5 | Freiburg | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 48 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 45 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 45 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 44 |
10 | Augsburg | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 43 |
11 | Stuttgart | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 41 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 39 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 35 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 30 |
15 | St Pauli | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 29 |
16 | Heidenheim | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 22 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 20 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 19 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |