Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Angers had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Angers |
| 63.91% ( | 20.66% ( | 15.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.89% ( | 45.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.55% ( | 67.45% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.58% ( | 13.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.63% ( | 40.36% ( |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.08% ( | 41.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.63% ( | 78.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Angers |
| 2-0 @ 11.34% ( 1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 3-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 4-0 @ 3.82% ( 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 5-1 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 63.9% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 2-2 @ 4.29% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.66% | 0-1 @ 4.89% ( 1-2 @ 4.27% ( 0-2 @ 2.13% ( 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 1-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.43% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
