Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
1 - 1
Auxerre

Guessand (37')
Rosario (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aye (90+4')
Danois (29'), Owusu (71'), Massengo (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 0-2 Lyon
Sunday, March 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 0-2 Auxerre
Sunday, March 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Nice	Draw	Auxerre
50.72% ( 0.05)	23.74% ( -0.01)	25.53% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.39% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.07% (

0.03)

44.93% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.71% (

0.03)

67.28% (

-0.03)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.23% (

0.03)

17.77% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.54% (

0.05)

48.46% (

-0.05)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.58% (

-0.02)

31.42% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.2% (

-0.02)

67.79% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Nice 50.72%

Auxerre 25.53%

Draw 23.74%

Nice	Draw	Auxerre
2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 50.72%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.74%	1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 25.53%