Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
Auxerre2 - 2Toulouse
We said: Auxerre 1-1 Toulouse
This is a difficult match to call, as both sides have had their troubles of late and it is a game that Toulouse need to win to stay in the hunt for European football next term. However, Auxerre are tough to beat on their home turf but have found it hard to win matches in recent months, so therefore we think this game ends in a 1-1 draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Toulouse |
38.27% ( 0.05) | 28.76% ( 0.03) | 32.96% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 45.32% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
