

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Auxerre |
| 49.16% ( | 24.69% ( | 26.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.48% ( | 48.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.35% ( | 70.65% ( |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( | 19.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.18% ( | 51.82% ( |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( | 32.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.59% ( | 69.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Auxerre |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 49.16% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
