Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Auxerre |
53.67% (![]() | 22.24% (![]() | 24.09% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.98% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.53% (![]() | 39.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.19% (![]() | 61.81% (![]() |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.25% (![]() | 14.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.03% (![]() | 42.97% (![]() |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.35% (![]() | 29.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.31% (![]() | 65.69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Auxerre |
2-1 @ 9.74% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.67% | 1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 6.19% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 3.14% Total : 24.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 78 |
2 | Marseille | 31 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 58 |
3 | Lille | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 56 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 55 |
5 | Lyon | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 54 |
6 | Nice | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 54 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 45 |
9 | Brest | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 44 |
10 | Auxerre | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
11 | Rennes | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Reims | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
15 | Angers | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 30 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 28 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 71 | -37 | 27 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |