Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Oct 5, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
3 - 1
Auxerre

Davitashvili (15', 54', 86')
Nade (47'), Ekwah (67'), Petrot (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bair (74')
Owusu (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 2-2 St Etienne
Sunday, September 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 3-0 Brest
Friday, September 27 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Auxerre
41.27% ( 0.84)	25.59% ( 0.05)	33.13% ( -0.9)

Both teams to score 55.04% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.11% (

-0.45)

48.88% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.02% (

-0.41)

70.98% (

0.41)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.5% (

0.22)

23.49% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.47% (

0.32)

57.52% (

-0.32)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.94% (

-0.78)

28.05% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29% (

-1)

63.71% (

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 41.27%

Auxerre 33.13%

Draw 25.59%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Auxerre
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.27%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.13%