Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Monaco |
40.4% (![]() | 25.87% (![]() | 33.73% |
Both teams to score 54.28% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.06% (![]() | 49.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.08% (![]() | 71.92% (![]() |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% (![]() | 24.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.18% (![]() | 58.82% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% (![]() | 28.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.11% (![]() | 63.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.71% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 78 |
2 | Marseille | 31 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 58 |
3 | Lille | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 56 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 55 |
5 | Lyon | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 54 |
6 | Nice | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 54 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 45 |
9 | Brest | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 44 |
10 | Auxerre | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
11 | Rennes | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Reims | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
15 | Angers | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 30 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 28 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 71 | -37 | 27 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |