Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Monaco |
| 40.4% ( | 25.87% ( | 33.73% |
| Both teams to score 54.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.06% ( | 49.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.08% ( | 71.92% ( |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( | 24.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.18% ( | 58.82% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( | 28.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.11% ( | 63.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.73% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
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