

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Lens had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lens |
| 42.48% ( | 25.64% ( | 31.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.54% ( | 49.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% ( | 71.49% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( | 23.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.98% ( | 57.01% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.85% ( | 29.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.92% ( | 65.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 4-2 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.48% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
