Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Monaco3 - 0Lens
We said: Monaco 2-1 Lens
Lens are expected to push Monaco all the way as they bid to end their winless run, but the Monegasques look set to extend their unbeaten start to the season with another victory on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lens |
38.24% ( 0.02) | 25.11% ( -0) | 36.65% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
