MX23RW : Sunday, May 25 22:28:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 1
Almere City

FT(HT: 0-1)
Robinet (28')
Haye (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 2-3 AZ
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Sittard
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Almere City

AZ are overwhelming favourites going into this contest, and given their late resurgence and Almere's defensive frailties — having conceded the second most goals in the division with 61 — it would be no surprise to see a commanding win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 82.53%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 5.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.33%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawAlmere City
82.53% (0.548 0.55) 12% (-0.32 -0.32) 5.47% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 41.54% (-0.23200000000001 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.93% (0.55500000000001 0.56)35.07% (-0.552 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.93% (0.614 0.61)57.07% (-0.612 -0.61)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.66% (0.22499999999999 0.22)6.34% (-0.2209 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.16% (0.608 0.61)23.84% (-0.604 -0.6)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.36% (-0.354 -0.35)55.64% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.74% (-0.209 -0.21)88.26% (0.212 0.21)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 82.52%
    Almere City 5.47%
    Draw 12%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAlmere City
2-0 @ 13.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 12.33% (0.12 0.12)
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-0 @ 8.51% (0.186 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.99% (0.055 0.05)
5-0 @ 4.69% (0.16 0.16)
5-1 @ 2.75% (0.064 0.06)
6-0 @ 2.16% (0.099 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.26% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 4%
Total : 82.52%
1-1 @ 5.71% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-0 @ 3.53% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 2.31% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 12%
0-1 @ 2.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-2 @ 1.67% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 5.47%

How you voted: AZ vs Almere City

AZ Alkmaar
86.7%
Draw
13.3%
Almere City
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 1
Almere City
0-1
AZ

Resink (45+4')
Guillaume (34'), Visus (79')
Sadiq (4')
Martens (19'), Zeefuik (86'), Maikuma (89')
Dekker (18')
Feb 10, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 21
Almere City
0-0
AZ
Jacobs (43'), Robinet (77')
Addai (60')
Dec 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
AZ
4-1
Almere City
Pavlidis (7', 90+2'), De Wit (66'), Moller Wolfe (80')
Moller Wolfe (88'), Clasie (90+4')
Mbe Soh (56')
van Bruggen (23'), Jacobs (64'), Resink (73'), Kitala (81'), Floranus (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342545103396479
2Ajax34246467323578
3Feyenoord34208676383868
4FC UtrechtUtrecht341810662451764
5AZ AlkmaarAZ34169958372157
6FC Twente341591062491354
7Go Ahead Eagles34149115755251
8NECNijmegen34127155146543
9Heerenveen34127154257-1543
10PEC Zwolle341011134351-841
11Fortuna SittardSittard34118153754-1741
12Sparta RotterdamSparta34912133943-439
13Groningen34109154053-1339
14Heracles34911144263-2138
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3489173458-2433
16Willem II3468203456-2226
RRKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3467214474-3025
RAlmere CityAlmere City34410202364-4122


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