Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 82.53%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 5.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.33%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.