Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 11, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
AZ3 - 0Groningen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-3 AZ
Sunday, May 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
51
Last Game: Groningen 6-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, May 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, May 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
38
We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Groningen
Although Groningen have more at stake on Sunday, it is debatable whether that will play into their favour or not. Given that AZ got back to winning ways last time out, they may have regained enough confidence to edge this fixture by the odd goal in three. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 14.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Groningen |
66.93% ( -0.28) | 18.9% ( 0.12) | 14.16% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.08% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
