Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
0.16) 
-0.26) 
