

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 59.11%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 20.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (5.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 59.11% ( | 20.32% ( | 20.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.3% ( | 34.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.35% ( | 56.65% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.45% ( | 11.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.51% ( | 36.49% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( | 29.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.91% ( | 66.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 2-0 @ 8.07% 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 3-0 @ 5.8% ( 3-2 @ 4.21% ( 4-1 @ 3.77% ( 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 4-2 @ 2.27% ( 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 4-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 59.11% | 1-1 @ 9.01% ( 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 3-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.32% | 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0-1 @ 4.17% ( 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 20.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 58 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 52 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 50 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 45 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Groningen | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 32 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | Heracles | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Willem II | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 18 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 17 |
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