Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.