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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Shrewsbury Town

Exeter
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Watts (29'), Mitchell (48')
Purrington (23'), Jones (39'), MacDonald (80'), Trevitt (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gape (73'), Oliver (80'), Feeney (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-0 Exeter
Tuesday, March 4 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-0 Shrewsbury Town

Neither side are in the strongest form at the moment, and both are at risk should they lose this match, so expect a close contest. That being said, it is hard to see anything other than a victory for Exeter given that Shrewsbury have a particularly poor goalscoring record over recent weeks and a disastrous away record this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawShrewsbury Town
46.72% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 25.79% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 27.49% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.51% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.86% (-0.107 -0.11)52.14% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)73.86% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.3% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.3% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)33.7% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.65% (-0.155 -0.16)70.35% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 46.71%
    Shrewsbury Town 27.49%
    Draw 25.79%
Exeter CityDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.27% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.23% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 46.71%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 27.49%

How you voted: Exeter vs Shrewsbury

Exeter City
33.3%
Draw
50.0%
Shrewsbury Town
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 12
Shrewsbury
0-2
Exeter
Doyle (9'), Magennis (65')
Sweeney (79')
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Shrewsbury
0-3
Exeter

Sraha (5'), Bayliss (42'), Benning (42')
Shipley (6')
Aimson (33'), Harris (41'), Aitchison (45+5')
Harper (27'), Cole (29'), Eisa (90+3')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
0-0
Shrewsbury
Sweeney (50'), Cole (69')
Shipley (18')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Shrewsbury
3-2
Exeter
Pennington (22'), Bayliss (34'), Dunkley (90+3')
Sweeney (17'), Grounds (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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