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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Exeter City

Stevenage
4 - 1
Exeter

King (11'), Roberts (17', 80'), Kemp (76')
King (2'), Freeman (24'), Reid (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Magennis (3' pen.)
Diabate (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-3 Stevenage
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-6 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 3-1 Exeter City

Stevenage will come into the game full of confidence after their strong win over Wrexham last time out, while the visitors will be looking to stop the rot. However, considering their poor form - as well as the fact that they have so many defenders out - it is hard to see Exeter taking anything from this weekend's match, so expect a fourth consecutive win for the Boro on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawExeter City
48.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.34%25.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.08% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.72% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.14% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)76.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97%23.03% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.46% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)37.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.68% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)74.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 48.46%
    Exeter City 25.2%
    Draw 26.33%
StevenageDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 12.69%
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 9.13%
3-0 @ 4.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 8.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.47%
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 25.2%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Exeter
2-0
Stevenage
Francis (9'), Doyle (50')
Crama (55')

Roberts (44'), Piergianni (83')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Exeter
1-0
Stevenage
Cole (38')
Carroll (22'), Hemmings (69'), Thompson (90+3'), Sweeney (90+3')

Butler (7'), Thompson (47'), Watts (86')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stevenage
1-1
Exeter
Piergianni (45+1')
Butler (53')
Wildschut (47')
Aitchison (23'), Caldwell (24'), Taylor (43'), Sweeney (46'), Sinisalo (64'), Niskanen (75')
Aitchison (43')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-1
Stevenage
(Aggregate 1-1 | Exeter win 5-3 on penalties)
Hartridge (5')
Trevitt (8'), Sweeney (30')
Roberts (69')
Evans (9'), Butler (63'), Thompson (89')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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