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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Leyton Orient |
30.03% (![]() | 25.69% (![]() | 44.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.61% (![]() | 50.38% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.68% (![]() | 72.32% (![]() |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.12% (![]() | 30.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.83% (![]() | 67.16% (![]() |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.31% (![]() | 22.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.66% (![]() | 56.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 8.23% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.9% ( ![]() Other @ 3% Total : 30.03% | 1-1 @ 12.21% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.01% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.32% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 10.39% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.06% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 55 | 22 | 33 | 76 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 67 |
3 | Wrexham | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 61 |
5 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 59 |
6 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 58 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 57 |
8 | Reading | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 54 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 53 |
10 | Barnsley | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Stevenage | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 47 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 46 |
13 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 45 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 44 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 40 |
16 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 40 |
17 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 38 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 38 |
19 | Exeter CityExeter | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 37 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 36 |
21 | Burton Albion | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 33 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 29 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 28 |
> League One Full Table |