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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Leyton Orient

Exeter
2 - 6
Leyton Orient

Alli (47', 56')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Abdulai (5', 7', 64'), Clare (14'), Markanday (34'), Donley (78')
Galbraith (26'), Beckles (52'), Keeley (60'), Cooper (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-3 Blackpool
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Reading
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient will carry significant momentum into the midweek fixture, and we think that they will extend their 10-game unbeaten run by claiming a narrow win over an Exeter side that have lost three of their previous five home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawLeyton Orient
30.03% (-0.153 -0.15) 25.69% (-0.02 -0.02) 44.28% (0.175 0.18)
Both teams to score 53.44% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (0.023999999999994 0.02)50.38% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.68% (0.02 0.02)72.32% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)30.88% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)67.16% (0.116 0.12)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (0.093000000000004 0.09)22.69% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.66% (0.13699999999999 0.14)56.34% (-0.13399999999999 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 30.03%
    Leyton Orient 44.28%
    Draw 25.69%
Exeter CityDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.03%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 10.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.06% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.81% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 44.28%

How you voted: Exeter vs Leyton Orient

Exeter City
14.3%
Draw
12.2%
Leyton Orient
73.5%
49
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Leyton Orient
0-1
Exeter

Ball (53'), Brown (77')
Richards (40')
Niskanen (44'), Caldwell (45'), McMillan (48'), Sweeney (89')
Watts (90+3')
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Leyton Orient
2-2
Exeter
O'Neill (36'), Moncur (64')
Alli (88'), Carroll (90+2')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Exeter
1-2
Leyton Orient
Mitchell (48')
Borges (90'), Beardmore (90+5'), Cole (90+6')
Pigott (55'), Sotiriou (90+2')
Archibald (45+2'), Pratley (59'), Sotiriou (90+3')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Exeter
1-0
Leyton Orient
Diabate (90+2')
Dieng (54'), Brown (81')

Thompson (24'), Pratley (75'), Beckles (90+1')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Leyton Orient
3-0
Exeter
Drinan (7'), Beckles (25'), Archibald (77')
James (59')

Grounds (25')
Grounds (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham33237355223376
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe341910560322867
3Wrexham34198749282165
4Stockport CountyStockport351710852341861
5Charlton AthleticCharlton34178946311559
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield351771147321558
7Bolton WanderersBolton34176115550557
8Reading34159104844454
9Leyton Orient351651450351553
10Barnsley35157135048252
11Stevenage34138133234-247
12Lincoln CityLincoln351210134844446
13Blackpool34101594947245
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham34128143940-144
15Wigan AthleticWigan341010143134-340
16Mansfield TownMansfield34117164047-740
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough34108165159-838
18Northampton TownNorthampton35911153452-1838
19Exeter CityExeter33107163550-1537
20Bristol Rovers34106183553-1836
21Burton Albion35712163551-1633
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge3478193457-2329
23Crawley TownCrawley3478193764-2729
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3577213458-2428


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