Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 32
May 16, 2025 at 4.55pm UK
Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, Al-Hasa
Al Fateh3 - 4Al-Hilal
We said: Al Fateh 1-3 Al-Hilal
Even though Al-Hilal's performance entering Friday's match could be affected by the possibility of Al Ittihad claiming the title a day earlier, we expect the league's top-scoring side to overpower Al Fateh and end the home side's three-match winning streak in front of their fans. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 2-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Fateh | Draw | Al-Hilal |
16.25% ( 0.13) | 17.22% ( 0.07) | 66.52% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 65.34% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
