MX23RW : Monday, May 26 17:27:05| >> :60:528:528:
AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals
Apr 25, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Hilal
7 - 0
Gwangju

Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Leonardo (25'), Al-Dawsari (33'), Mitrovic (55'), Malcom (79'), Al-Dawsari (84'), Al Hamdan (88')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Kim (72')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between Al-Hilal and Gwangju.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-2 Al Shabab
Monday, April 21 at 4.55pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Gwangju 3-0 Vissel Kobe
Wednesday, March 12 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 71.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Gwangju had a probability of 11.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Gwangju win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawGwangju
71.32% (-3.211 -3.21) 16.81% (1.184 1.18) 11.86% (2.025 2.03)
Both teams to score 53.77% (3.158 3.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.5% (0.289 0.29)35.5% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.45% (0.32 0.32)57.54% (-0.321 -0.32)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.21% (-0.63600000000001 -0.64)8.79% (0.634 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.84% (-1.57 -1.57)30.16% (1.569 1.57)
Gwangju Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (3.846 3.85)41.05% (-3.847 -3.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (3.251 3.25)77.6% (-3.252 -3.25)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 71.31%
    Gwangju 11.86%
    Draw 16.81%
Al-HilalDrawGwangju
2-0 @ 10.66% (-0.84 -0.84)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.287 0.29)
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.403 -0.4)
3-0 @ 8.65% (-0.964 -0.96)
3-1 @ 7.7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 5.26% (-0.767 -0.77)
4-1 @ 4.68% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.345 0.35)
5-0 @ 2.56% (-0.463 -0.46)
5-1 @ 2.28% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-2 @ 2.08% (0.153 0.15)
6-0 @ 1.04% (-0.226 -0.23)
5-2 @ 1.01% (0.045 0.04)
6-1 @ 0.92% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 71.31%
1-1 @ 7.81% (0.463 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.54 0.54)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.81%
1-2 @ 3.48% (0.535 0.54)
0-1 @ 3.21% (0.281 0.28)
0-2 @ 1.43% (0.256 0.26)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.271 0.27)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.247 0.25)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 11.86%

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