MX23RW : Friday, April 25 22:41:36| >> :60:198:198:
AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
4 - 0
Pakhtakor

Al-Yami (31'), Malcom (42'), Al-Dawsari (51' pen.), Al-Dawsari (90+2')
Al-Harbi (59'), Al Ghannam (88'), Al Ghannam (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Khamdamov (36')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Al-Hilal and Pakhtakor Tashkent.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fayha 0-2 Al-Hilal
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Pakhtakor 1-0 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, March 4 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 78.68%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 7.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win it was 1-2 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawPakhtakor Tashkent
78.68% (-0.736 -0.74) 13.55% (0.44 0.44) 7.77% (0.2961 0.3)
Both teams to score 49.31% (-0.329 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.34% (-1.153 -1.15)32.66% (1.154 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.67% (-1.346 -1.35)54.33% (1.346 1.35)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.4% (-0.38 -0.38)6.6% (0.381 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.46% (-1.048 -1.05)24.53% (1.049 1.05)
Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.8% (-0.136 -0.14)47.2% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.36% (-0.102 -0.1)82.64% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 78.67%
    Pakhtakor Tashkent 7.77%
    Draw 13.55%
Al-HilalDrawPakhtakor Tashkent
2-0 @ 11.5% (0.21 0.21)
3-0 @ 10.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.131 0.13)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.338 0.34)
3-1 @ 7.83% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 7.09% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-1 @ 5.32% (-0.151 -0.15)
5-0 @ 3.85% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.89% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.065 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.75% (-0.122 -0.12)
6-1 @ 1.31% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 78.67%
1-1 @ 6.36% (0.231 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.24% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.188 0.19)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 13.55%
1-2 @ 2.39% (0.078 0.08)
0-1 @ 2.34% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 7.77%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Pakhtakor

Al-Hilal
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Pakhtakor Tashkent
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2025 4pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Pakhtakor
1-0
Al-Hilal
Junior (29')
Azmiddinov (34'), Abdullayev (78'), Makhamadjonov (90+7')

Koulibaly (83'), Kanoo (90+9')
Sep 17, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Pakhtakor
0-0
Al-Hilal
Ismailov (45+1')
Kanoo (66')
Sep 14, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Al-Hilal
2-1
Pakhtakor
Giovinco (45+2'), Babhir (90+7')
Al-Shahrani (26')
Derdiyok (70')
Ceran (81'), Ismailov (90'), Komilov (90+3')
Suyunov (64')
rhs 2.0
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