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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Utrecht |
26.41% (![]() | 22.76% (![]() | 50.83% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.33% (![]() | 39.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.98% (![]() | 62.02% (![]() |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.04% (![]() | 27.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.41% (![]() | 63.59% (![]() |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.22% (![]() | 15.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.08% (![]() | 44.91% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 6.62% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 3.67% Total : 26.41% | 1-1 @ 10.38% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 9.59% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.52% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 3.69% Total : 50.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |