

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 35.75% ( | 25.41% ( | 38.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.37% ( | 47.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.17% ( | 69.82% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( | 25.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.14% ( | 60.86% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( | 24.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.49% ( | 58.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 4-1 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 35.75% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 73 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 37 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 |
| 10 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 31 |
| 16 | Willem II | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 19 |
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