Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 4, 2025 at 2.45pm UK
Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Torque
2 - 3
Progreso

Nunez (40'), Rodriguez (65' pen.)
Kagelmacher (7'), Pino Garcia (36'), Nunez (45+2'), Neris (60'), Daniel Obregon (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gonzalez (17' pen.), Olivera (45+2'), Nahuel Sosa Santana (90+5' pen.)
Olivera (59')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Progreso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions
Last Game: Torque 0-1 Defensor
Sunday, April 27 at 2.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Progreso 0-2 Liverpool
Sunday, April 27 at 7.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo City TorqueDrawProgreso
49.26% (0.178 0.18)26.38% (-0.173 -0.17)24.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.468 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.55% (0.611 0.61)56.45% (-0.613 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.54% (0.492 0.49)77.46% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.342 0.34)22.98% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (0.502 0.5)56.77% (-0.504 -0.5)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.3% (0.335 0.34)38.7% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.56% (0.318 0.32)75.44% (-0.319 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo City Torque 49.26%
    Progreso 24.36%
    Draw 26.37%
Montevideo City TorqueDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 13.07% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 49.26%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 24.36%

Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
Torque
1-0
Progreso
Guerrero (15')
Pereyra (26'), Rodriguez (68'), Milesi (68'), Alvarez (75')

(31'), (74'), (88'), (90')
Aug 20, 2021 4.45pm
Gameweek 15
Progreso
1-4
Torque
Alles (32')
Ramis (23'), Bentaberry (33'), Ferreira (36'), Arias (64')
Cejas (18', 65'), Allende (30' pen.), Alejandro Perez Etchelar (85')
Brun (38'), Alvarez (40'), Guruceaga (42'), Cejas (59')
Jan 17, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 1
Progreso
0-0
Torque
Loffreda (52'), Perez (74')
Scotto (24'), Arismendi (84'), De Olivera (90+3')
Oct 18, 2020 2.30pm
Torque
1-2
Progreso
Rak (56')
Brun (36'), Del Prete (50'), Rak (65'), Allende (76')
Gottesman (16'), Peraza (83')
Asconeguy (39'), Gottesman (43'), Sosa (64')
Feb 15, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 1
Torque
1-3
Progreso
Allende (88')
Pereira (15'), Rak (25'), Coccaro (64'), Piris (69')
Pena (27')
Silva (44', 54'), Roldan (66')
(74'), (90')