Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2025 at 7.15pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
Liverpool (Uruguay)

Progreso
0 - 2
Liverpool


Trasante (27'), Asconeguy (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hernandez (16'), Machado (90+7' pen.)
Acosta Moreno (80'), Vallejo (81')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensor 1-2 Progreso
Sunday, April 20 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, April 20 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.51%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawLiverpool
22.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.78% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)51.1% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.86% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.39% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)59.61% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)79.94% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.66% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)79.01% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)23.51% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)57.55% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 22.13%
    Liverpool 51.1%
    Draw 26.77%
ProgresoDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-1 @ 5.27%
2-0 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.5%
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 22.13%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 14.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.51%
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 5.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 51.1%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Liverpool
2-1
Progreso
Garcia (45+1', 72' pen.)
Castillo (55'), Perdomo (76'), Vergara (90+4')
Joaquin Martin Colman (13')
Gonzalez (26'), Gomez (38'), Garcia (90+5'), Barreto (90')
Suarez (79')
Apr 28, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 10
Progreso
2-1
Liverpool
Lopez (74'), Silva (90+3')
Piegas (22'), Garcia (61'), Andrada (90+10'), Sequeira (90+13')
Nicola Albanell (27')
Gonzalez (38'), Rodriguez (59'), Rosso (83'), Vergara (85'), Barrios (90+10')
Vergara (90+11')
Oct 3, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 4
Liverpool
0-1
Progreso

Perez (3'), Garcia (55'), Chacon (62'), Chocobar (88')
Chacon (90+3')
Silva (4')
Arias (21'), Andrada (25'), Marta (55'), Olaizola (59'), Barboza (90+1')
Arias (83')
Jun 4, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 4
Progreso
1-3
Liverpool
Barboza (83')
Marta (20'), Barboza (46'), Arias (58'), Bentaberry (80')
Martinez (11'), Marta (38' og.), Garcia (81')
Diaz (6'), Rosso (71')
Jan 30, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 3
Progreso
0-4
Liverpool

Loffreda (11'), Ferreira (74'), Mendez (85')
Ignacio Ramirez (33'), Medina (50'), Bueno (83', 89')
Candido (11')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010


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