Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 20, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor1 - 2Progreso
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Progreso.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensor 3-2 Cerro
Monday, April 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, April 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Progreso 1-1 Plaza Colonia
Saturday, April 12 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 12 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Progreso |
54.67% ( 0.24) | 26.6% ( -0.04) | 18.73% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 40.08% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
