Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 20, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
1 - 2
Progreso

Gomez (90+1' pen.)
Federico Amaro Viega (84'), Gomez (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nahuel Moreira Morales (62', 83')
Trasante (30'), Colombino (85'), Olivera (89')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Progreso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Last Game: Defensor 3-2 Cerro
Monday, April 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Progreso 1-1 Plaza Colonia
Saturday, April 12 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawProgreso
54.67% (0.237 0.24)26.6% (-0.044 -0.04)18.73% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 40.08% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.82% (-0.067 -0.07)62.18% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.13% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)81.87% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (0.073999999999998 0.07)23.04% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (0.108 0.11)56.86% (-0.112 -0.11)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.08% (-0.27 -0.27)47.92% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.83% (-0.2 -0.2)83.17% (0.196 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 54.66%
    Progreso 18.73%
    Draw 26.59%
Defensor SportingDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 16.2% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.89% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.82% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 54.66%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 18.73%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 12
Defensor
3-0
Progreso
Cadenazzi (7'), Spinelli (49'), Mansilla (83')
Montoya (6'), De Los Santos (45'), Alvarez (56'), Cadenazzi (72')

Lemmo (35'), Castillo (73'), Gomez (84'), Joaquin Martin Colman (86')
Jun 16, 2024 12am
Gameweek 2
Defensor
1-1
Progreso
Duarte (73')
Barco (38'), Giampaoli (51'), Duarte (85')
Lopez (44')
Colombino (6'), Lopez (69'), Poiso (80'), Canobbio (82'), Andrada (90'), Silva (90+2')
Silva (90+2'), Silva (90+4')
May 12, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 12
Progreso
1-4
Defensor
Lopez (83' pen.)
Andrada (9'), Poiso (33'), Rivero (67'), Suarez (82')
Giampaoli (32'), Bernal (53'), Rivero (57'), Agazzi (90+6')
Giampaoli (40'), Mansilla (65'), Soria (65'), Pacifico (79'), Lopez (79')
Feb 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
Progreso
3-3
Defensor
Silva (7', 87'), Fernandez (29')
Loffreda (35'), Laens (90+4')
Mallo (13'), Coelho (49', 82')
(8'), Rocha (27')
Rocha (60')
Aug 19, 2020 9.30pm
Gameweek 6
Defensor
2-1
Progreso
Coelho (77'), Lamas (81')
Zeballos (36')
Silva (66')
Gonzalez (64'), Silva (80'), Platero (90+3')