Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Mar 16, 2025 at 12.45am UK
Parque Luis Mendez Piana

Miramar Misiones
1 - 1
Progreso

Ayala (17', 17')
Diana (49'), Diana (49'), Fernandez (54'), Fernandez (54'), Ramirez (76'), Ramirez (76'), Ayala (88'), Ayala (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Nahuel Moreira Morales (59', 59')
Alberto Ordonez Esterilla (21'), Alberto Ordonez Esterilla (21'), Viera (65'), Viera (65')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Miramar Misiones and Progreso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Miramar Misiones

All competitions
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 1-0 Danubio
Monday, March 10 at 12.45am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Progreso 2-2 Boston River
Sunday, March 9 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 35.99%. A win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.1%) and 1-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 (13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Miramar MisionesDrawProgreso
33.44% (-0.121 -0.12)30.56% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)35.99% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 40.64% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.16% (0.088000000000001 0.09)66.84% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.84% (0.06 0.06)85.16% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Miramar Misiones Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)37.13% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08% (-0.035 -0.04)73.91% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (0.152 0.15)35.35% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (0.158 0.16)72.11% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Miramar Misiones 33.44%
    Progreso 35.99%
    Draw 30.55%
Miramar MisionesDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 13% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 33.44%
1-1 @ 13.52%
0-0 @ 13.12% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.48% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 30.55%
0-1 @ 13.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 35.99%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 1
Progreso
0-0
Miramar Misiones
Barreto (7'), Caballero (57')
Machado (31'), Rodriguez (37'), Pereira (60'), Yepez (82')
Feb 17, 2024 10.15pm
Gameweek 1
Miramar Misiones
2-3
Progreso
Ayala (71'), Yepez (76')
Yepez (26'), Ayala (81')
Silva (6'), Lemmo (35'), Sequeira (87')
Gonzalez (81'), Lopez (81')