Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 9, 2025 at 8pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
Boston River logo

Progreso
2 - 2
Boston River

Colombino (3'), Fernandez (90' pen.)
Silvera (82'), Alberto Ordonez Esterilla (85'), Fernandez (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rodriguez (73'), Ariel Noguera Rolon (90+10')
Dafonte Cambre (23'), Emmanuel Gomez Pineiro (72'), Rodriguez (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Progreso
Sunday, February 23 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Boston River

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 0-0 Bahia
Friday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 19.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
ProgresoDrawBoston River
19.02% (-0.041 -0.04)24.8% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)56.18% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 44.97% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.08% (0.19600000000001 0.2)55.92% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.97% (0.16 0.16)77.02% (-0.163 -0.16)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.11% (0.067999999999998 0.07)43.89% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.97% (0.056000000000001 0.06)80.03% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14% (0.11800000000001 0.12)19.85% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05% (0.193 0.19)51.95% (-0.196 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 19.02%
    Boston River 56.17%
    Draw 24.8%
ProgresoDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 7.18% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.78%
2-0 @ 2.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 19.02%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.71% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 14.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.14% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.48% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 56.17%

Head to Head
Oct 16, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 8
Boston River
1-0
Progreso
Damiani (77' pen.)
Cougo (45'), Damiani (59'), Marta (69'), Rodriguez (90+1'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Damiani (80')

Castillo (24'), Joaquin Martin Colman (69')
Apr 13, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 8
Progreso
1-0
Boston River
Silva (4')
Gonzalez (22'), Labraga (52'), Lopez (70')

Costa (47'), Ramos (74'), Perez (90+4')
Nov 8, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Boston River
0-0
Progreso
Alvarez (12'), Lozano (55')
Marta (2'), Paiva (85'), Romero (90+3'), Bentaberry (90+6')
Jul 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
Progreso
1-0
Boston River
Morales (90')
Formento (16')

Nadruz (57')
Feb 23, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 9
Boston River
2-3
Progreso
Bentancourt (44' pen., 52' pen.)
Fernandez (34'), (49'), Nadruz (58'), (87')
Gonzalez (51' pen.), Platero (59'), Fernandez (82')
(79')