Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Boston River logo

Nacional
3 - 1
Boston River

Zabala (86'), Petit Abad (87'), Lopez (90+5' pen.)
Sebastian Amaro Mello (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Suhr (45+1')
Vera (30'), Beltran (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Nacional
Thursday, November 28 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Boston River

All competitions
Last Game: Boston River 1-2 Racing
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawBoston River
62.5%21.18%16.32%
Both teams to score 50.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34%45.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02%67.98%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99%14.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.45%41.56%
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.91%41.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.37%77.63%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 62.49%
    Boston River 16.32%
    Draw 21.17%
NacionalDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 11.31%
2-0 @ 11.11%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.28%
3-1 @ 6.48%
4-0 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-0 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 62.49%
1-1 @ 10.06%
0-0 @ 5.76%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.17%
0-1 @ 5.12%
1-2 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 2.28%
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 16.32%

Head to Head
Jul 28, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-0
Boston River
Castro (17')
Baez (33'), Gonzalez (90+4')

Cougo (35'), Damiani (41'), Mancebo (78')
Jun 4, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 15
Boston River
1-3
Nacional
Gomez (60')
Franco Allala (44'), Rodriguez (72'), Damiani (74'), Acosta (90+4')
Bentancourt (12'), Carneiro (45+7' pen.), Santander (69')
Baez (17'), Bentancourt (36'), Santander (74')
Oct 20, 2023 12.15am
Gameweek 6
Boston River
2-0
Nacional
Gutierrez (25'), Rodriguez (61')
Franco Allala (38'), Cougo (78')

Carneiro (51'), Rodriguez (69'), Romero (90+3')
Mar 11, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 6
Nacional
3-1
Boston River
Ramirez (36' pen.), Bocanegra (75'), Gigliotti (90+3')
Acuna (55')
Sep 15, 2022 12am
Gameweek 8
Nacional
1-0
Boston River
Candido (49')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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