Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 28, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Boston River logo

Nacional
1 - 0
Boston River

Castro (17')
Baez (33'), Gonzalez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cougo (35'), Damiani (41'), Mancebo (78')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 4-0 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, July 20 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Boston River

All competitions
Last Game: Boston River 1-2 Danubio
Sunday, July 21 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawBoston River
58.18% (-0.127 -0.13)22.9% (0.042000000000002 0.04)18.92% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.26% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.24% (-0.064 -0.06)48.76% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (-0.058 -0.06)70.87% (0.053999999999988 0.05)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)16.47% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.83% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)46.16% (0.114 0.11)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.17% (0.055 0.05)39.82% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5% (0.050000000000001 0.05)76.49% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 58.17%
    Boston River 18.92%
    Draw 22.9%
NacionalDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 11.82%
2-0 @ 10.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 58.17%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.01% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 18.92%

Head to Head
Jun 4, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 15
Boston River
1-3
Nacional
Gomez (60')
Franco Allala (44'), Rodriguez (72'), Damiani (74'), Acosta (90+4')
Bentancourt (12'), Carneiro (45+7' pen.), Santander (69')
Baez (17'), Bentancourt (36'), Santander (74')
Oct 20, 2023 12.15am
Gameweek 6
Boston River
2-0
Nacional
Gutierrez (25'), Rodriguez (61')
Franco Allala (38'), Cougo (78')

Carneiro (51'), Rodriguez (69'), Romero (90+3')
Mar 11, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 6
Nacional
3-1
Boston River
Ramirez (36' pen.), Bocanegra (75'), Gigliotti (90+3')
Acuna (55')
Sep 15, 2022 12am
Gameweek 8
Nacional
1-0
Boston River
Candido (49')
Jul 24, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
2-0
Boston River
Gigliotti (57'), Fagundez (66')
Fagundez (68')

Rodriguez (45+1'), Mancebo (86'), Rodriguez (90+1')