Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 20, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
4 - 0
Miramar Misiones

Bentancourt (22' pen.), Galeano (47'), Castro (69'), Recoba (73')
Castro (30'), Sanabria (84'), Cabrera (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cabrera (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Miramar Misiones.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Danubio 0-6 Nacional
Saturday, July 13 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Miramar Misiones

All competitions
Last Game: Boston River 2-1 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, July 13 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 17.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Miramar Misiones win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawMiramar Misiones
59.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.55% (0.0010000000000012 0)17.78% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 49.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.98% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)49.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.9% (-0.004999999999999 -0)71.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95%16.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)45.41% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Miramar Misiones Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.71% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)41.29% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)77.81% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 59.66%
    Miramar Misiones 17.78%
    Draw 22.55%
NacionalDrawMiramar Misiones
1-0 @ 12.12%
2-0 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 6.76%
3-1 @ 5.98%
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.13%
5-1 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 59.66%
1-1 @ 10.72%
0-0 @ 6.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.86%
1-2 @ 4.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 17.78%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Miramar Misiones
1-2
Nacional
Machado (36')
Vazquez (51'), Polenta (88')
Carneiro (41'), Santander (85')
Mejia (76'), Polenta (87')