MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 00:37:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 0
Cerro

Galeano (45+1'), Lopez (55')
Castro (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Triunfo (54'), Macelli (84')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rampla 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, October 20 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 1-1 Racing
Sunday, October 20 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 10.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.75%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawCerro
70.05% (-0.44 -0.44) 19.61% (0.224 0.22) 10.34% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 39.25% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97% (-0.293 -0.29)52.03% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (-0.253 -0.25)73.76% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.27% (-0.22 -0.22)13.73% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.01% (-0.444 -0.44)40.99% (0.448 0.45)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.5% (0.26000000000001 0.26)54.5% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.42% (0.157 0.16)87.58% (-0.152 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 70.04%
    Cerro 10.34%
    Draw 19.61%
NacionalDrawCerro
1-0 @ 14.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 14.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 9.76% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.85% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.93% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 70.04%
1-1 @ 9.02% (0.102 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 2.72% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 19.61%
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.088 0.09)
1-2 @ 2.74% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.38% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 10.34%

Head to Head
Jun 9, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
3-0
Nacional
Ramirez (14'), Petillo Mediza (84'), Gonzalez (88')
Berrios (76')
Abero (29')

Santander (65'), Izquierdo (67'), Castro (69')
Apr 28, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 10
Cerro
1-2
Nacional
Macelli (61')
Abero (36'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Carneiro (40' pen.), Oliva (70')
Antoni (60'), Oliva (75')
Oct 15, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nacional
2-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (17'), Gigliotti (70')
Lozano (10'), Martinez (33')
Rodriguez (12')
Rodriguez (25'), Coronel (31'), Tizon (43'), Abero (51'), Fernandez (67')
Jun 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Nacional
Nandin (1')
Perez (45+1'), Denis (83'), Souza (90+3')
Pereiro (79')
Rodriguez (18'), Pereiro (79')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro
2-2
Nacional
Rodriguez (19'), Abero (67')
Trezza (11'), Pereiro (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LiverpoolLiverpool127501981126
2Juventud127232014623
3NacionalNacional1264226141222
4Defensor SportingDefensor12633159621
5Racing de MontevideoRacing12624128420
6Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia12534119218
7PenarolPenarol125341515018
8Cerro Largo124531213-117
9Montevideo City TorqueTorque124531316-317
10Boston RiverBoston River124351317-415
11CerroCerro123541213-114
12ProgresoProgreso122641321-812
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers121651013-39
14DanubioDanubio120841015-58
15Miramar Misiones122281221-98
16River PlateRiver Plate12147916-77


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