Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 37.95% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 37.95% ( | 23.97% ( | 38.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.3% ( | 40.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.91% ( | 63.08% ( |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% ( | 21.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.39% ( | 54.61% ( |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.52% ( | 21.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.48% ( | 54.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 2-0 @ 5.45% ( 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 4-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 37.95% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-0 @ 4.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.07% |