Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 37.95% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.