Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 29.76% ( | 24.82% ( | 45.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.22% ( | 46.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.96% ( | 69.03% ( |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( | 29.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.81% ( | 65.19% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( | 20.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.77% ( | 53.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 2-0 @ 4.57% ( 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 4-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.76% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0-2 @ 7.51% ( 1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0-3 @ 3.95% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0-4 @ 1.56% ( 2-4 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 |
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
