Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.