Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 13, 2025 at 11.30am UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 0
Bologna

Retegui (3'), Pasalic (21')
Hien (7'), Zappacosta (34'), Retegui (60'), Toloi (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Miranda (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Lazio
Sunday, April 6 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Napoli
Monday, April 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Bologna
42.91% ( -0)	26.39% ( 0)	30.7% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.55% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.02% (

-0)

52.98% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.42% (

-0)

74.58% (

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.51% (

-0)

24.49% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.06% (

-0.01)

58.94% (

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.26% (

-0)

31.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.84%

68.16%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 42.9%

Bologna 30.7%

Draw 26.38%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.9%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.38%	0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.7%