Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta2 - 0Bologna
We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Bologna
While they have the best away record in Serie A, ailing Atalanta are effectively mid-table fodder at home, so they could struggle to stop in-form Bologna. A low-scoring draw should ensue, replicating the result in September's reverse fixture - and that might allow other teams to overtake both. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Bologna |
42.91% ( -0) | 26.39% ( 0) | 30.7% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.55% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
