Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Hellas Verona1 - 2Bologna
We said: Hellas Verona 0-1 Bologna
Only Roma have scored more Serie A goals than Bologna in 2025, while Verona have recorded the fewest - just three in nine games since the turn of the year. With momentum on their side, the away side can end their winless streak at Stadio Bentegodi and stay ahead of several challengers in the race for European places. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Bologna |
19.6% ( -0.2) | 24.66% ( 0.03) | 55.74% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.22% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
